← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Amiens win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Caen +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Thomas Monconduit · Amiens |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mohamed Jaouab · Amiens |
| 58' | ⚽ | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nordine Kandil · Amiens |
| 82' | 🟨 | Yann M'Vila · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rémy Vita · Amiens |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kalifa Coulibaly · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| 622.00 |
| 41.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1369.01 | 1352.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.49 | -12.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -1.32 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |