← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.86 |
| Red Star win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Red Star +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.46 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Pierre Lemonnier · Red Star |
| 32' | 🟨 | Hianga'a M'Bock · Red Star |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 57' | ⚽ | Julien Anziani · Ajaccio |
| 81' | ⚽ | Julien Anziani · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days |
| 72.00 |
| 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1414.13 | 1366.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.17 | 42.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 34.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |