← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Mar 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Rodez win | 32% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
| 13' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
| 27' | 🟥 | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 52' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 54' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 57' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ugo Raghouber · Dunkerque |
| 80' | ⚽ | Derek Mazou-Sacko · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Waniss Taibi · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days |
| 830.00 |
| 556.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1455.67 | 1507.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.21 | 33.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 33.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 9.03 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | 1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | 1.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |