← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Stinat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 64% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Annecy win | 14% | 7.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy −1.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Metz −1.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Sadibou Sané · Metz |
| 12' | ⚽ (og) | Axel Drouhin · Metz |
| 29' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Metz |
| 45' | 🟨 | Trévis Dago · Annecy |
| 53' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ablie Jallow · Metz |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Metz |
| 69' | ⚽ | Yohan Demoncy · Annecy |
| 86' | ⚽ | Joel Asoro · Metz |
| 90' | ⚽ | Morgan Bokele Mputu · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| 250.00 |
| 1407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1585.60 | 1470.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.63 | -21.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.69 |
| league points | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.25 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.65 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.77 | — |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |