← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| FC Lorient win | 32% | 3.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| FC Lorient +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · Paris FC |
| 22' | 🟨 | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 25' | 🟨 | Samir Sophian Chergui · Paris FC |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cafaro · Paris FC |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 38' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Paris FC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Igor Silva · FC Lorient |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 75' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Pagis · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days |
| 646.00 |
| 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.72 |
| elo | 1581.68 | 1613.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.38 | 12.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 55.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 2.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 11.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.40 | 25.75 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |