← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Amiens win | 22% | 4.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Amiens −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 28' | 🟨 | Siaka Bakayoko · Amiens |
| 30' | 🟨 | Merwan Ifnaoui · Red Star |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Hacene Benali · Red Star |
| 77' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal · Amiens |
| 78' | 🟨 | Josue Escartin · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days |
| 249.00 |
| 615.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1352.41 | 1382.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.37 | -16.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.61 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 29.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |