← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
| Ajaccio win | 27% | 3.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Shaquil Delos · Grenoble |
| 16' | ⚽ | Axel Bamba · Ajaccio |
| 47' | 🟨 | Samba Diba · Grenoble |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Ayoub Jabbari · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ayoub Jabbari · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Everson Junior · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days |
| 65.00 |
| 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1435.56 | 1411.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.69 | 26.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.64 |
| league points | 36.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |