← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 49% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Laval win | 23% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Caen −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Williams Kokolo · Laval |
| 35' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 39' | 🟨 | Yohan Tavares · Laval |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Caen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Didí Gaucho · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| 34.00 |
| 2076.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1361.35 | 1475.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.84 | -31.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.81 |
| league points | 19.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |