← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Letexier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Martigues win | 11% | 10.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Martigues −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bastia −1.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | — · Martigues |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Gustave Akueson · Bastia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Christ Inao Oulaï · Bastia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Francois Kembolo Luyeye · Martigues |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Martigues |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days |
| 279.00 |
| 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1459.49 | 1389.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.57 | 4.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| league points | 35.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |