← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Mar 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Ajaccio win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
| 24' | 🟨 | Everson Junior · Ajaccio |
| 46' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Ajaccio |
| 62' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mehdi Puch-Herrantz · Ajaccio |
| 77' | 🟨 | Arsène Kouassi · Ajaccio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Arsène Kouassi · Ajaccio |
| 82' | 🟥 | Arsène Kouassi · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days |
| 61.00 |
| 549.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1421.27 | 1498.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.30 | 43.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.76 |
| league points | 33.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 9.03 | 10.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |