← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.23 |
| Rodez win | 18% | 5.68 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| FC Lorient −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Panos Katseris · FC Lorient |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nolan Galves · Rodez |
| 88' | ⚽ | Laurent Abergel · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days |
| 273.00 |
| 821.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1606.77 | 1462.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.70 | -22.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 55.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.25 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.44 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.44 | — |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | -1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |