← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 66% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.43 |
| Ajaccio win | 12% | 8.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Metz −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 36' | 🟨 | Benjamin Stambouli · Metz |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mohamed Youssouf · Ajaccio |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Metz |
| 84' | 🟨 | Morgan Bokele Mputu · Metz |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| 236.00 |
| 52.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1595.35 | 1405.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.04 | 43.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| league points | 44.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.90 | — |
| state index | 1.04 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |