← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Grenoble win | 31% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 48' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 72' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 24 |
| 7 | On target | 10 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days |
| 51.00 |
| 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1444.65 | 1509.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.73 | 8.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |