← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 53% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Clermont win | 20% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Muhannad Al Saad · Dunkerque |
| 29' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 31' | ⚽ | Muhannad Al Saad · Dunkerque |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ugo Raghouber · Dunkerque |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mons Bassouamina · Clermont |
| 82' | 🟨 | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days |
| 539.00 |
| 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1484.98 | 1463.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.77 | -31.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 45.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |