← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Red Star win | 22% | 4.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Christ Inao Oulaï · Bastia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ryad Hachem · Red Star |
| 45' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Amine Boutrah · Bastia |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jeremy Sebas · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Bohnert · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 265.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.22 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1482.74 | 1337.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.38 | -11.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 32.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |