← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Caen win | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Annecy −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Yohan Demoncy · Annecy |
| 38' | 🟨 | Fabrice N'Sakala · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Quentin Paris · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1388.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 3.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1493.15 | 1351.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.76 | -55.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.69 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 42.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 10.03 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.47 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.24 | -1.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |