← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 15, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Guingamp win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Guingamp +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Sohaib Nair · Guingamp |
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
| 63' | 🟨 | Koffi Kouao · Metz |
| 87' | ⚽ | Idrissa Gueye · Metz |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matthieu Udol · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 290.00 | 229.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1527.60 | 1577.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.98 | 31.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.69 |
| state index | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |