← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Rodez win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Pau FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Tairyk Arconte · Pau FC |
| 10' | ⚽ | Noah Cadiou · Rodez |
| 45' | 🟨 | Waniss Taibi · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Noah Cadiou · Rodez |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 69' | ⚽ | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 79' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 80' | 🟨 | Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1689.00 | 806.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1434.71 | 1443.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.36 | -48.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |