← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Rosier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Clermont win | 30% | 3.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bastia +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Baïla Diallo · Clermont |
| 40' | 🟨 | Yoan Koré · Clermont |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟥 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Cheick Konate · Clermont |
| 70' | ⚽ | Maïdine Douane · Clermont |
| 84' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel-Montpied |
| coach days |
| 105.00 |
| 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1464.59 | 1481.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.26 | 17.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |