← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: H. Ben El Hadj
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 35% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.79 |
| Laval win | 30% | 3.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Laval +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Ajaccio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Axel Bamba · Ajaccio |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yohan Tavares · Laval |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julien Anziani · Ajaccio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
| 73' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Laval |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ben Touré · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Titouan Thomas · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 44.00 | 2055.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1385.10 | 1495.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.68 | 2.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |