← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Feb 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Caen win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Caen +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Yannis Clementia · Caen |
| 25' | 🟨 | Vincent Sasso · Dunkerque |
| 30' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 37' | 🟥 | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Caen |
| 56' | ⚽ | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yann M'Vila · Caen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Yacine Bammou · Dunkerque |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ugo Raghouber · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kay Tejan · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 20 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 9.00 | 528.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1365.09 | 1460.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.01 | 0.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 9.28 | 10.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.65 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.38 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | -1.59 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.63 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |