← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Clermont win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Metz −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Pape Diallo · Metz |
| 10' | 🟨 | Tidyane Diagouraga · Clermont |
| 18' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Clermont |
| 69' | ⚽ | Idrissa Gueye · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Saint-Symphorien |
| coach days |
| 222.00 |
| 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1568.62 | 1473.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.17 | -3.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 38.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.02 | — |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |