← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ajaccio win | 28% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Théo Le Bris · Guingamp |
| 41' | ⚽ | Théo Le Bris · Guingamp |
| 47' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 56' | ⚽ | Brighton Labeau · Guingamp |
| 70' | 🟨 | Taylor Luvambo · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 38.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1399.96 | 1512.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.36 | 31.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |