← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Feb 7, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Millot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Bastia win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Lamine Cissé · Bastia |
| 24' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 24' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Loni Laurent · Rodez |
| 30' | 🟨 | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
| 50' | 🟨 | Tom Meynadier · Bastia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Eric Vandenabeele · Rodez |
| 69' | 🟨 | Till Cissokho · Rodez |
| 88' | ⚽ | Maxime Blé · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 799.00 | 251.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1461.14 | 1464.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.87 | -10.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |