← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Kubler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 41% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.17 |
| Guingamp win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Moustapha Mbow · Paris FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 66' | 🟨 | Thibault De Smet · Paris FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Taylor Luvambo · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 276.00 | 611.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 3.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1523.57 | 1554.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.79 | -31.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.60 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |