← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Laval win | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Laval −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa · Pau FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 54' | 🟨 | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 79' | 🟨 | Amine Cherni · Laval |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tairyk Arconte · Pau FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · Laval |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1675.00 | 2041.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1442.32 | 1507.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.52 | 27.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| league points | 28.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.35 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |