← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.14 |
| Ajaccio win | 19% | 5.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Tony Strata · Ajaccio |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tidyane Diagouraga · Clermont |
| 63' | 🟥 | Josue Isala · Clermont |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Santelli · Ajaccio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel-Montpied |
| coach days |
| 91.00 |
| 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1487.65 | 1385.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.34 | -2.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.50 | 41.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 27.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.11 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |