← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 31, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Batta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.12 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Metz +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Maxime Blé · Bastia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Loïc Etoga · Bastia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Idrissa Gueye · Metz |
| 57' | 🟨 | Christ Inao Oulaï · Bastia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tom Meynadier · Bastia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Loïc Etoga · Bastia |
| 64' | 🟥 | Loïc Etoga · Bastia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Gauthier Hein · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 244.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1462.71 | 1569.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.83 | 19.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 27.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 26.31 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |