← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Clermont win | 18% | 5.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Clermont −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Jérémy Jacquet · Clermont |
| 24' | ⚽ | Julien Laporte · FC Lorient |
| 28' | 🟨 | Massamba Ndiaye · Clermont |
| 28' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Clermont |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Eli Junior Kroupi · FC Lorient |
| 59' | ⚽ | Pablo Pagis · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérémy Jacquet · Clermont |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Clermont |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days | 238.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1591.32 | 1493.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.93 | 3.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 40.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.40 | — |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |