← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.15 |
| Red Star win | 17% | 6.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star −1 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Paris FC −1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Timothée Kolodziejczak · Paris FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Robin Risser · Red Star |
| 48' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Aliou Badji · Red Star |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lohann Doucet · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 604.00 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| 208.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1548.48 | 1334.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.07 | 35.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.64 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.74 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| league points | 37.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.59 | — |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |