← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Frappart
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Ajaccio win | 20% | 5.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Rodez −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Tawfik Bentayeb · Rodez |
| 26' | ⚽ | Moussa Soumano · Ajaccio |
| 40' | ⚽ | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 48' | 🟨 | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 64' | 🟨 | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 68' | 🟨 | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francois-Joseph Sollacaro · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 785.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1485.52 | 1370.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.93 | -27.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 41.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 29.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.25 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.02 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |