← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 37% | 2.57 |
| Dunkerque win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Dunkerque +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Montassar Talbi · FC Lorient |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jean-Victor Makengo · FC Lorient |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ugo Raghouber · Dunkerque |
| 69' | 🟨 | Arthur Avom Ebong · FC Lorient |
| 81' | 🟨 | Enzo Genton · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟨 | Igor Silva · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 505.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1463.21 | 1583.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.07 | -1.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
| league points | 36.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.30 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |