← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Rosier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Red Star win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Red Star +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Antoine Mille · Pau FC |
| 34' | 🟨 | Iyad Mohamed · Pau FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Bingourou Kamara · Pau FC |
| 43' | ⚽ | Damien Durand · Red Star |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Pathé Mboup · Pau FC |
| 70' | ⚽ | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Robin Risser · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aliou Badji · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 200.00 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| 1661.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1348.27 | 1425.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.23 | 15.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.78 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |