← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Stinat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Rodez win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Rodez −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 71' | ⚽ | Brighton Labeau · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Taylor Luvambo · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Waniss Taibi · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Taylor Luvambo · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 261.00 | 778.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1500.75 | 1499.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.18 | -2.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 32.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |