← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Caen win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Rajot · Caen |
| 40' | 🟨 | Julien Anziani · Ajaccio |
| 42' | 🟨 | Axel Bamba · Ajaccio |
| 42' | 🟨 | Brahim Traoré · Caen |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 70' | ⚽ | Axel Bamba · Ajaccio |
| 83' | ⚽ | Aboubakary Kanté · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Michel-Moretti |
| coach days | 16.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1361.38 | 1407.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.76 | -42.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.70 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -1.23 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 1.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |