← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Amiens win | 18% | 5.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Amiens −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Sébastien Corchia · Amiens |
| 32' | 🟨 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · Paris FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tuomas Ollila · Paris FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adama Camara · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maxime López · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rayan Lutin · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 590.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1556.77 | 1411.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.10 | -56.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 64.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 34.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.61 | — |
| state index | -0.06 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |