← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Guingamp win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Guingamp +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Rayan Ghrieb · Guingamp |
| 22' | 🟨 | Alpha Sissoko · Guingamp |
| 29' | 🟨 | Axel Drouhin · Annecy |
| 32' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kashi · Annecy |
| 44' | 🟨 | Yohan Demoncy · Annecy |
| 47' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 60' | ⚽ | Josué Tiendrebeogo · Annecy |
| 67' | 🟨 | Trévis Dago · Annecy |
| 83' | ⚽ | Junior Mendes · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 1350.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1512.64 | 1478.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.59 | -1.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 33.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.47 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.44 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |