← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Grenoble win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Grenoble +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Alan Kerouedan · Grenoble |
| 16' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Gustave Akueson · Bastia |
| 36' | ⚽ | Amine Boutrah · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 72' | ⚽ (og) | Mamadou Diarra · Bastia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Zakaria Ariss · Bastia |
| 82' | ⚽ | Eddy Sylvestre · Grenoble |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ayoub Jabbari · Grenoble |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 2.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1399.52 | 1474.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.22 | 13.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 20.25 | 21.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.53 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.97 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |