← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Dec 16, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: F. Batta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 |
| Caen win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Ugo Raghouber · Dunkerque |
| 52' | 🟨 | Didí Gaucho · Caen |
| 53' | ⚽ | Yacine Bammou · Dunkerque |
| 65' | ⚽ | Vincent Sasso · Dunkerque |
| 69' | 🟨 | Noe Lebreton · Caen |
| 73' | ⚽ | Gabin Tomé · Caen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Léo Milliner · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Caen |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Gaëtan Courtet · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 472.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1448.08 | 1441.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.83 | 20.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 31.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 10.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | 1.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |