← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Grenoble win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Grenoble +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Hacene Benali · Red Star |
| 16' | ⚽ | Kemo Cissé · Red Star |
| 35' | ⚽ | Joachim Eickmayer · Red Star |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joachim Eickmayer · Red Star |
| 53' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 76' | 🟨 | Hianga'a M'Bock · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade de Paris |
| coach days | 166.00 | 13.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1301.11 | 1416.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.16 | -38.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | -1.19 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |