← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Paris FC win | 26% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Julien Ponceau · FC Lorient |
| 26' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Laurent Abergel · FC Lorient |
| 63' | 🟨 | Panos Katseris · FC Lorient |
| 75' | 🟨 | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Maxime López · Paris FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC |
| 84' | 🟥 | Vincent Marchetti · Paris FC |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Sambou Soumano · FC Lorient |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat |
| coach days | 196.00 | 562.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1591.35 | 1585.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.56 | -2.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.86 |
| league points | 33.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 64.00 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.59 | 27.70 |
| state index | 0.73 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 1.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |