← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Ajaccio win | 15% | 6.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Pau FC −1 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Anthony Khelifa · Ajaccio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Christopher Ibayi · Ajaccio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Anthony Khelifa · Ajaccio |
| 80' | 🟥 | Anthony Khelifa · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1626.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1413.80 | 1388.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.88 | -7.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 43.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |