← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 36% | 2.62 |
| Guingamp win | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Guingamp +0 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Tom Meynadier · Bastia |
| 32' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 39' | 🟨 | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 50' | ⚽ | Felix Tomi · Bastia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alpha Sissoko · Guingamp |
| 57' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Lamine Cissé · Bastia |
| 86' | ⚽ | Julien Maggiotti · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Taylor Luvambo · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 25 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 195.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1460.88 | 1494.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.34 | 35.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |