← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Amiens win | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Amiens −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Allan Tchaptchet · Grenoble |
| 55' | ⚽ | Nordine Kandil · Amiens |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mohamed Jaouab · Amiens |
| 64' | 🟨 | Allan Tchaptchet · Grenoble |
| 64' | 🟥 | Allan Tchaptchet · Grenoble |
| 71' | ⚽ | Rayan Lutin · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 6.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1433.60 | 1454.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.74 | -14.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 66.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.65 |
| league points | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 14.75 | 14.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |