← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 6, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.34 |
| Martigues win | 18% | 5.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Martigues +1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Guingamp +1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 67' | 🟨 | Akim Djaha · Martigues |
| 69' | 🟨 | Yan Marillat · Martigues |
| 72' | 🟨 | Severin Sabri Guendouz · Guingamp |
| 88' | ⚽ | Brighton Labeau · Guingamp |
| 89' | 🟥 | Steve Solvet · Martigues |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Martigues | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade Jean Laville |
| coach days | 5.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1385.80 | 1485.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.91 | 19.71 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 9.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -1.12 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |