← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Mon, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Ajaccio win | 20% | 5.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Mohamed Youssouf · Ajaccio |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Yacine Bammou · Dunkerque |
| 35' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Ajaccio |
| 72' | 🟥 | Matthieu Huard · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Naatan Skyttä · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kay Tejan · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivane Chegra · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 1 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 451.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1450.13 | 1405.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.58 | -8.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 17.03 | 17.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |