← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Delajod
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Lorient win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| FC Lorient +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Zakaria Ariss · Bastia |
| 32' | 🟥 | Jocelyn Janneh · Bastia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Christ Inao Oulaï · Bastia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Julien Laporte · FC Lorient |
| 85' | 🟨 | Igor Silva · FC Lorient |
| 89' | 🟨 | Darlin Yongwa · FC Lorient |
| 90' | 🟥 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 175.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.25 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1462.39 | 1579.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.05 | 13.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 17.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 25.61 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |