← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 46% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Amiens win | 26% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 30' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 37' | ⚽ | Amine Hemia · Guingamp |
| 48' | 🟥 | Sohaib Nair · Guingamp |
| 64' | ⚽ | Jacques Siwe · Guingamp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mohamed Jaouab · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 205.00 | 510.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1471.57 | 1468.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.00 | 10.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 13.25 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |