← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Clermont win | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Clermont +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Metz +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Mehdi Baaloudj · Clermont |
| 21' | 🟨 | Habib Keita · Clermont |
| 27' | ⚽ | Ibou Sane · Metz |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mehdi Baaloudj · Clermont |
| 78' | 🟨 | Benjamin Stambouli · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Gabriel-Montpied |
| coach days | 21.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1489.89 | 1540.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.04 | -10.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 18.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.95 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |