← Ligue 2 2024-25 · Fri, Nov 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Rodez win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Caen −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Ibrahima Baldé · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mohamed Bouchouari · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 51' | ⚽ | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Timothee Nkada · Rodez |
| 78' | 🟨 | Loni Laurent · Rodez |
| 85' | 🟨 | Stone Muzalimoja Mambo · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Daylam Meddah · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 8 |
| 3 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 387.00 | 722.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1450.05 | 1502.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.75 | 40.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 67.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -1.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |